Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.781458 2.030027 2.300268 2.615837 2.974200 3.368501 3.835283
2025-10-05 1.476124 1.834547 2.258291 2.796010 3.460163 4.253716 5.274312
2025-10-12 1.247814 1.646647 2.146257 2.817675 3.696357 4.807452 6.320168
2025-10-19 1.117570 1.549180 2.116120 2.914694 4.010466 5.461765 7.531752
2025-10-26 0.980164 1.418328 2.018186 2.898460 4.157166 5.892781 8.470439
2025-11-02 0.872943 1.312834 1.937823 2.889300 4.301007 6.319054 9.426593
2025-11-09 0.772235 1.203210 1.836730 2.834238 4.365166 6.627055 10.227311
2025-11-16 0.709938 1.142937 1.799767 2.866665 4.556024 7.129111 11.351634
2025-11-23 0.657093 1.090799 1.768370 2.901497 4.748918 7.643955 12.532295
2025-11-30 0.601477 1.027903 1.712938 2.890580 4.864372 8.041744 13.553403
2025-12-07 0.545126 0.957758 1.638484 2.839871 4.907132 8.321198 14.397247
2025-12-14 0.493883 0.891018 1.563032 2.779203 4.925151 8.556774 15.180110
2025-12-21 0.444433 0.825887 1.489941 2.725870 4.968683 8.868991 16.179039
2025-12-28 0.435758 0.833707 1.546085 2.909028 5.451437 9.992595 18.734816
2026-01-04 0.404608 0.796246 1.516508 2.931771 5.643013 10.612423 20.429678
2026-01-11 0.387102 0.782543 1.528738 3.032668 5.987709 11.538654 22.777730
2026-01-18 0.356754 0.740332 1.482504 3.015783 6.103732 12.044613 24.364330
2026-01-25 0.330431 0.703289 1.442394 3.006257 6.231696 12.581804 26.057437
2026-02-01 0.301746 0.658279 1.381884 2.948989 6.256897 12.917047 27.371268
2026-02-08 0.284909 0.636469 1.366330 2.982715 6.471423 13.648392 29.563140
2026-02-15 0.269723 0.616603 1.352777 3.018942 6.693652 14.412812 31.891132
2026-02-22 0.251676 0.588499 1.318915 3.007588 6.811560 14.967205 33.815012
2026-03-01 0.231878 0.554369 1.268655 2.954847 6.832812 15.315216 35.314415